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NTNDP database

The assumptions and inputs used for AEMO’s National Transmission Network Development Plan (NTNDP), as well as the NEM Electricity Statement of Opportunities (ESOO), Victorian Annual Planning Report (VAPR), and South Australian Advisory Function reports, are provided below. These inputs constitute the NTNDP database in accordance with clause 5.20.4 of the National Electricity Rules.

Revised versions of the assumptions and inputs will be published as new information becomes available.

2018 NTNDP database

The 2018 NTNDP database is available as a part of the 2018 Integrated System Plan (ISP).

2016 NTNDP database

 

Report Date Available Description
Market Modelling Methodology and Input Assumptions 23/12/2016  This document provides an overview of the modelling methodologies and assumptions employed for AEMO’s 2016 planning reports, including NTNDP, ESOO, Gas Statement of Opportunities (GSOO), and VAPR.
2016 NTNDP Methodology and Input Assumptions 23/12/2016 This document provides an overview of methodologies and input assumptions employed in AEMO’s NTNDP specifically, and describes shared assumptions also used in other electricity planning reports. 
2016 NTNDP Database Input Data Traces (154Mb - Zip file) 23/12/2016  This dataset presents the assumed operational demand, PV, and wind generation traces for the modelling horizon. For variable generation traces, the dataset includes traces by generation technology, per planning zone.
2016 Planning Studies - Additional Modelling Data and Assumptions Summary 12/12/2016

A spreadsheet containing a broad range of modelling data and input assumptions that were applied in the 2016 Planning Studies.

 

2016 Generation and Transmission outlooks 12/12/2016 The generation outlook provides a view of the generation required to meet expected operational demand and consumption across the NEM over the next 20 years. The transmission outlook uses the generation outlook to provide a strategic view of the efficient development of the transmission grid over the next 20 years. Separate spreadsheets have been provided for each scenario examined in the 2016 NTNDP.
Annual Planning Reports summary 12/12/2016 A consolidated summary of Transmission Network Service Provider (TNSP) projects listed in their 2016 Annual Planning Reports, and how they relate to the 2016 NTNDP.
2016 Emissions Factor Assumptions Update (ACIL Allen) 11/08/2016 This document provides the methodology and results from ACIL Allen’s review of generator emissions data.
2016 Emissions Factor Assumptions Data (ACIL Allen) 11/08/2016 This dataset presents the assumed emissions factors used in AEMO’s planning publications.
2016 Coal Cost Report (Wood Mackenzie) 11/08/2016 This document provides an overview of the assumed coal price inputs in 2016 Planning Studies.
2015 Australian Power Generation and Technology Report
11/08/2016 This document provides information on power generation technology costs that are applied in the 2016 Planning Studies.
2016 Coal Cost Data (Wood Mackenzie) 11/08/2016 This dataset presents the assumed coal price inputs into AEMO’s time sequential database.
National Electricity Forecast Report 18/06/2016 The NEFR provides AEMO’s independent electricity consumption forecasts, developed on a consistent basis over the next 10 years for the five National Electricity Market (NEM) regions (New South Wales (including ACT), Queensland, South Australia, Tasmania, and Victoria).
February 2016 Gas Pricing Consultancy Databook (Core Energy Group) 18/06/2016

This document provides wholesale gas price inputs into AEMO’s time sequential database for the 2016 Planning Studies.

Fuel and Technology Cost Review – Data (ACIL Allen) 12/06/2014

Some of the properties for existing generators shown in this report are used in the 2016 NTNDP, unless they are included in the 2016 Planning Studies - Additional Modelling Data and Assumptions summary, which take priority.

 

2015 NTNDP database

 

Report Date Available Description
2015 Generation and Transmission Outlook  12 Nov 2015 The generation outlook provides a view of the generation required to meet expected operational demand and consumption across the NEM over the next 20 years. The transmission outlook uses the generation outlook to provide a strategic view of the efficient development of the transmission grid over the next 20 years.
Annual Planning Reports Project Summary 12 Nov 2015 A consolidated summary of Transmission Network Service Provider (TNSP) projects listed in their 2015 Annual Planning Reports, and how they relate to the 2015 NTNDP. 
2015 Plexos LT model
2015 NTNDP Traces
2015 Demand Trace Development
12 Nov 2015 The modelling methodology and input assumptions stem from 2015 Plexos LT model, 2015 NTNDP traces, and 2015 demand trace development documents.
2015 Planning Studies – Consultation Paper  12 Nov 2015 Consultation sought feedback on the 2014 NTNDP, and consulted on inputs and material issues for the 2015 NTNDP.
2015 NTNDP Traces 12 Nov 2015 This folder includes the wind and photovoltaic (PV) generation traces, together with the regional demand traces, used in the 2015 NTNDP modelling.
2015 Demand Trace Development 12 Nov 2015 This document provides an overview of the methodology used to develop demand traces for AEMO’s planning studies.
Capacity Expansion Model 28 Nov 2014 This document describes AEMO’s modelling methodology for generation expansion and retirements for planning studies.
Additional Modelling Data 12 Nov 2015 This file presents tables of input data for the 2014 planning studies. The additional data includes carbon price, Large-scale Renewable Energy Target (LRET), Green Power, demand side participation (DSP), Hydro storage water values, interconnector capability, proportioning factors for interconnector losses, and augmentation options.
National Electricity Forecast Report 18 Jun 2015 The NEFR provides AEMO’s independent electricity consumption forecasts, developed on a consistent basis over the next 10 years for the five National Electricity Market (NEM) regions (New South Wales (including ACT), Queensland, South Australia, Tasmania, and Victoria).
Emerging Technologies Information Paper 26 Jun 2015 This paper forecasts potential impacts of battery storage, electric vehicles, and fuel switching among consumers in the residential sector in the NEM, over a 20-year outlook.
2014 Modelling Methodology and Assumptions 30 Jan 2014 This document provides an overview of the assumptions employed for the AEMO’s 2014 planning reports, including NTNDP, ESOO, Gas Statement of Opportunities (GSOO), VAPR, and Victorian Gas Planning Report (VGPR). For details on the 2015 NTNDP methodology and assumptions, please see Appendix A of the 2015 NTNDP main report.
Emission Intensity Values 23 May 2014 The emissions intensity data, combustion and fugitive emission factors, and generator thermal efficiency for scheduled and non-scheduled generators, reviewed and updated by ACIL Allen for AEMO.
Emissions Report 23 May 2014 This document provides methodology and results from ACIL Allen’s review of emissions data, and compares current values with those derived from the Clean Energy Regulator (CER) data and new proposed values.
Fuel and Technology Cost Review – Report (ACIL Allen) 12 Jun 2014 This paper provides the key results and the approach and methodology for the fuel and technology cost review undertaken by ACIL Allen in 2014.
Fuel and Technology Cost Review – Data (ACIL Allen) 12 June 2014 This file presents tables of wholesale gas and coal fuel cost projections by ACIL Allen.
Gas price consultancy databook (Core Energy) 12 Nov 2015 This file presents tables of results from the gas price consultancy report above.
2015 Gas Price Data Report (Core Energy) 12 Nov 2015 This document provides wholesale gas price inputs into AEMO’s time sequential database
Large-scale PV costs (Bloomberg New Energy Finance) 12 Nov 2015 This file presents a table of projections for large-scale solar PV costs to 2040 used in the Gradual Evolution sensitivity and Rapid Transformation sensitivity in the 2015 NTNDP.
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