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2019 Planning and Forecasting Consultation

05/02/2019
Market National Electricity Market
StageFinal Report
ConvenorAEMO NEM
Initiated16/08/2019
Accepting submissions?No

The publication of the Scenarios Report and Consultation Paper Responses reports concludes AEMO’s consultation on the scenarios, inputs, assumptions, methodology, timeline and consultation process for AEMO’s collection of Forecasting and Planning publications, including the NEM Electricity Statement of Opportunities (ESOO) and the Integrated System Plan (ISP).

AEMO thanks the broad range of stakeholders from across the energy industry for their valuable contributions that helped inform the scenarios, inputs, assumptions and methodologies summarised on this page.

AEMO’s timeline for this consultation is outlined below.

Submissions to this Consultation have assisted improvements in the quality of the input data and assumptions used in AEMO’s planning and forecasting work, and increase the accuracy, robustness and reasonableness of conclusions and insights of publications such as the ESOO and ISP.

Consultation timeline

Deliverable Indicative date Status
Forecasting and Planning Consultation published Tuesday 5 February 2019 Completed
Submissions on Forecasting and Planning Consultation received Wednesday 20 March 2019 Completed
Submission summary briefing webinar Wednesday 3 April 2019  Completed
Scenarios Consultation Workshop Friday 12 April 2019 Completed
Consumer engagement approach and Integrated System Plan workshop Tuesday 21 May 2019 Completed
Scenarios and Assumptions briefing Monday 3 June 2019 Completed
Final scenario and assumptions report published Friday 16 August 2019 Completed

Consultation documentation

These documents contain information provided by AEMO at workshops and briefings during AEMO’s 2019 Planning and Forecasting Consultation on scenarios, inputs and assumptions.

Event Date Download
Stakeholder workshop to address questions of clarification 19 February 2019 Briefing Workshop slides (516 KB, pdf)
Briefing webinar to summarise submissions received 3 April 2019 Briefing Webinar slides (1.5 MB, pdf) 
Stakeholder workshop to explore scenarios and resolve issues
(in person at Boston Consulting Group’s offices, Sydney)
12 April 2019 Workshop pack (3.4 pdf)
Forecasting and Planning Scenarios briefing 3 June 2019 Briefing workshop slides (3.2 MB, pdf)

Supporting materials

Reference materials used to support the development of the inputs and assumptions.

Driver Report Data Book
CSIRO GenCost 2018 CSIRO, GenCost 2018: Updated projections of electricity generation technology costs
GHD, 2018 AEMO cost and technical parameter review GHD, 2018 AEMO cost and technical parameter review (5.83 MB, pdf) GHD, 2018 AEMO cost and technical parameter review databook (567 KB, xlsb)
Entura, 2018 Pumped Hydro cost modelling Entura, 2018 Pumped Hydro cost modelling (1.0 MB, pdf)
Core Energy, 2019 Wholesale Gas Price Outlook Core Energy, 2019 wholesale gas price outlook report (2.2 MB, pdf) Core Energy, 2019 wholesale gas price outlook databook (5.8 MB, xlsx)
Deloitte Access Economics, 2019 AEMO Long term economic scenario forecasts Deloitte Access Economics, 2019 AEMO Long term economic scenario forecasts (5.83 MB, pdf)
CSIRO, 2019 Projections for Small Scale Embedded Technologies Report 2019 Projections for Small Scale Embedded Technologies Report by CSIRO (1.9 MB, pdf)
Energeia, Distributed Energy Resources and Electric Vehicle Forecasts Report Distributed Energy Resources and Electric Vehicle Forecasts - Report by Energeia (2.33 MB, pdf)
Strategy Policy Research, 2019 Energy Efficiency Forecasts Strategy Policy Research, 2019 Energy Efficiency Forecasts (5.2 MB, pdf)
Wood Mackenzie, 2019 Coal Cost Projections Wood Mackenzie, 2019 coal cost projections: Approach to coal cost projections report (1.0 MB, pdf) Wood Mackenzie, 2019 Coal cost projections databook (94 KB, xlsx)

Planning and Forecasting consultation submissions

Should you have any questions about any information contained on this page, or would like to share any evidence or comments that could help us for the 2019-20 Forecasting and Planning publications, please email the team: forecasting.planning@aemo.com.au

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